Thursday, May 3, 2012

POLL: NC Marriage Amendment Has Strong Lead in Final Week


 

Verne Strickland Blogmaster / May 3, 2012


Republicans in favor 78-15%, Democrats 48-44%



Support for the proposed amendment to the state constitution that would give the current definition of marriage additional legal protection remains strong as One-Stop Absentee Voting enters its final days. Applying survey results to current voter turnout trends and anticipated election day voting would project the amendment winning by no less than a 16 percentage-point margin.

A survey of partisan primary voters shows the amendment winning among Democrats by a slim 48-to-44 percent margin and among Republicans by a 78-to-15 percent margin. The largest supporters of the amendment among Democratic voters are black voters (38 percent of the sample), who support the amendment by a 2-to-1 margin -- 63 to 30 percent. Self-identified conservative Democrats (23 percent of the sample) support the amendment by an 82-to-13 percent margin.

Among Republican primary voters, the weakest support for the amendment was found with self-identified liberal/moderate Republicans (21 percent of the sample), who supported the amendment by a 49-to-46 percent margin.

“While there is still time for a strong advertising or grassroots effort to change the outcome, it appears supporters of the amendment have the momentum,” said Civitas President Francis De Luca. “However, as I have said before, this amendment is about deeply felt convictions affecting some of our most important civic institutions, faith and family. I believe we have not heard the last word on this issue.”